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U. San Felipe vs Rangers Prediction— Chile - Primera B

Regular Season - 12 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 19:00

U. San Felipe

PPG 1.20 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Rangers

PPG 0.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.20) vs P(Home)=29.5%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.3%0-113.2%0-28.5%0-33.6%0-4+1.5%1 1-010.2%1-113.1%1-28.4%1-33.6%1-4+1.5%2 2-05.0%2-16.5%2-24.2%2-31.8%2-4+0.8%3 3-01.7%3-12.1%3-21.4%3-30.6%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.7%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.5% — — —

Draw 28.0% — — —

Away win 42.6% — — —

Over 2.5 46.2% — — —

Over 3.5 19.6% — — —

BTTS 51.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 6.3%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob51.6%

A 43% / xG 1.0-1.3 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 10.3%

#3 0–1 13.2%

#4 0–2 8.5%

#5 1–2 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

U. San Felipe1.0

Rangers1.3

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 19.6%

Form & verdict PPG

U. SAN FELIPE · PPG 1.20

RANGERS · PPG 0.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.20) vs P(Home)=29.5%

Win probability 1X2

U. San Felipe (H) 29.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Rangers (A) 42.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

U. San Felipe face Rangers in Chile - Primera B on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives U. San Felipe a 30% chance, the draw 28% and Rangers 43%, so Rangers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for U. San Felipe and 1.3 for Rangers (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, U. San Felipe are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 0.20 for Rangers. This match finished 2-1.

U. San Felipe vs Rangers Prediction— Chile - Primera B

Match Preview & Prediction

More Chile - Primera B Predictions