Today / Usakspor vs Nazillispor

Usakspor vs Nazillispor Prediction

Group 4 - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 13:00

Usakspor

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Nazillispor

PPG 0.08 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in GOOD form (1.50), Away POOR (0.08) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-10.6%0-20.1%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-010.9%1-12.1%1-20.2%1-30.0%1-4+0.0%2 2-017.3%2-13.3%2-20.3%2-30.0%2-4+0.0%3 3-018.4%3-13.5%3-20.3%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-032.6%4+-16.2%4+-20.6%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 93.2% — — —

Draw 5.8% — — —

Away win 0.9% — — —

Over 2.5 65.6% — — —

Over 3.5 43.7% — — —

BTTS 16.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 79%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.2 xG (away)0.2 BTTS prob16.6%

H 93% / xG 3.2-0.2 / O2.5 66% / NoBTTS 17%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 18.4%

#2 2–0 17.3%

#3 4–0 14.7%

#4 1–0 10.9%

#5 5–0 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Usakspor3.2

Nazillispor0.2

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.6% · O3.5 PROB 43.7%

Form & verdict PPG

USAKSPOR · PPG 1.50

NAZILLISPOR · PPG 0.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.50), Away POOR (0.08) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Usakspor (H) 93.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 5.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Nazillispor (A) 0.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Usakspor face Nazillispor on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Usakspor a 93% chance, the draw 6% and Nazillispor 1%, so Usakspor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.2 for Usakspor and 0.2 for Nazillispor (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 17% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Usakspor are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.08 for Nazillispor.

Usakspor vs Nazillispor Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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