Today / Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana / V. San Carlos vs Argentino Merlo

V. San Carlos vs Argentino Merlo Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Regular Season - 16 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 18:30

V. San Carlos

PPG 1.00 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Argentino Merlo

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.6%0-114.5%0-26.0%0-31.6%0-4+0.4%1 1-016.1%1-113.2%1-25.5%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-07.4%2-16.1%2-22.5%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.2%3-11.8%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.5%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.5% 36.4% 2.75 +3.1%

Draw 35.3% 34.5% 2.90 +2.4%

Away win 27.2% 39.2% 2.55 -18.4%

Over 2.5 35.0% 37.0% 2.70 -5.5%

Over 3.5 9.9% 20.0% 5.00 -30.3%

BTTS 46.2% 47.6% 2.10 -3.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 96 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 63%

ROI 21.9%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob46.2%

H 38% / xG 0.9-0.8 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 17.6%

#2 1–1 13.2%

#3 1–0 16.1%

#4 0–1 14.5%

#5 2–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

V. San Carlos0.9

Argentino Merlo0.8

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 9.9%

Form & verdict PPG

V. SAN CARLOS · PPG 1.00

ARGENTINO MERLO · PPG 1.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away AVERAGE (1.43)

Win probability 1X2

V. San Carlos (H) 37.5%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV +3.1%

Draw 35.3%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV +2.4%

Argentino Merlo (A) 27.2%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV -18.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

V. San Carlos face Argentino Merlo in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives V. San Carlos a 38% chance, the draw 35% and Argentino Merlo 27%, so V. San Carlos are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for V. San Carlos and 0.8 for Argentino Merlo (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, V. San Carlos are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.43 for Argentino Merlo. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +3.1%. This match finished 0-0.

V. San Carlos vs Argentino Merlo Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

More Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana Predictions