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Dock Sud vs Flandria Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Regular Season - 16 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 18:30

Dock Sud

PPG 1.57 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Flandria

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.3%0-110.2%0-23.2%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-019.3%1-112.1%1-23.8%1-30.8%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.5%2-17.2%2-22.3%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.6%3-12.9%3-20.9%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-11.1%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.8% 40.8% 2.45 +19.6%

Draw 30.2% 36.4% 2.75 -17.0%

Away win 21.0% 33.3% 3.00 -22.2%

Over 2.5 35.0% 31.3% 3.20 +12.0%

Over 3.5 11.1% 15.4% 6.50 -16.7%

BTTS 46.2% 41.7% 2.40 +10.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 96 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 63%

ROI 21.9%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob46.2%

H 49% / xG 1.2-0.6 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 16.3%

#2 1–0 19.3%

#3 1–1 12.1%

#4 2–0 11.5%

#5 0–1 10.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dock Sud1.2

Flandria0.6

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 11.1%

Form & verdict PPG

DOCK SUD · PPG 1.57

FLANDRIA · PPG 1.00

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.57) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Dock Sud (H) 48.8%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV +19.6%

Draw 30.2%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -17.0%

Flandria (A) 21.0%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -22.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dock Sud face Flandria in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dock Sud a 49% chance, the draw 30% and Flandria 21%, so Dock Sud are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Dock Sud and 0.6 for Flandria (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dock Sud are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 1.00 for Flandria. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +19.6%. This match finished 0-0.

Dock Sud vs Flandria Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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