Today / Tire 2021 FK vs Karsiyaka

Tire 2021 FK vs Karsiyaka Prediction

Group 4 - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 13:00

Tire 2021 FK

PPG 1.29 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Karsiyaka

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.29)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.4%0-112.4%0-211.9%0-37.7%0-4+5.8%1 1-05.2%1-110.1%1-29.8%1-36.3%1-4+4.7%2 2-02.1%2-14.1%2-24.0%2-32.6%2-4+1.9%3 3-00.6%3-11.1%3-21.1%3-30.7%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.3%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 15.2% — — —

Draw 21.3% — — —

Away win 63.5% — — —

Over 2.5 51.8% — — —

Over 3.5 29.6% — — —

BTTS 47.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob47.7%

A 64% / xG 0.8-1.9 / O2.5 52% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 12.4%

#2 0–2 11.9%

#3 1–1✓ 10.1%

#4 1–2 9.8%

#5 0–3 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tire 2021 FK0.8

Karsiyaka1.9

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.8% · O3.5 PROB 29.6%

Form & verdict PPG

TIRE 2021 FK · PPG 1.29

KARSIYAKA · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.29)

Win probability 1X2

Tire 2021 FK (H) 15.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Karsiyaka (A) 63.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Tire 2021 FK face Karsiyaka on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tire 2021 FK a 15% chance, the draw 21% and Karsiyaka 64%, so Karsiyaka are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Tire 2021 FK and 1.9 for Karsiyaka (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tire 2021 FK are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 2.00 for Karsiyaka. This match finished 1-1.

Tire 2021 FK vs Karsiyaka Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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