Today / S. Subotica vs IMT N. Beograd

S. Subotica vs IMT N. Beograd Prediction

Saturday, May 16, 2026

S. Subotica

PPG 0.59 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

IMT N. Beograd

PPG 1.12 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.12) vs Home POOR (0.59)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.1%0-19.3%0-27.1%0-33.6%0-4+1.9%1 1-07.7%1-111.8%1-29.0%1-34.6%1-4+2.5%2 2-04.9%2-17.5%2-25.7%2-32.9%2-4+1.6%3 3-02.1%3-13.2%3-22.4%3-31.2%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.3%4+-21.0%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.5% — — —

Draw 24.9% — — —

Away win 40.6% — — —

Over 2.5 52.6% — — —

Over 3.5 30.8% — — —

BTTS 55.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob55.5%

A 41% / xG 1.3-1.5 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 1–2 9.0%

#3 0–0 6.1%

#4 2–1 7.5%

#5 0–1✓ 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

S. Subotica1.3

IMT N. Beograd1.5

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 30.8%

Form & verdict PPG

S. SUBOTICA · PPG 0.59

IMT N. BEOGRAD · PPG 1.12

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.12) vs Home POOR (0.59)

Win probability 1X2

S. Subotica (H) 34.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

IMT N. Beograd (A) 40.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

S. Subotica face IMT N. Beograd on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives S. Subotica a 35% chance, the draw 25% and IMT N. Beograd 41%, so IMT N. Beograd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for S. Subotica and 1.5 for IMT N. Beograd (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, S. Subotica are averaging 0.59 points per game versus 1.12 for IMT N. Beograd. This match finished 0-1.

S. Subotica vs IMT N. Beograd Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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