Today / Japan - WE League / JEF United W vs Urawa RD W

JEF United W vs Urawa RD W Prediction— Japan - WE League

Regular Season - 22 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 04:00

JEF United W

PPG 1.20 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Urawa RD W

PPG 1.90 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.90) vs Home AVERAGE (1.20)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.4%0-115.7%0-214.6%0-39.1%0-4+6.5%1 1-05.1%1-19.6%1-28.9%1-35.6%1-4+4.0%2 2-01.6%2-12.9%2-22.7%2-31.7%2-4+1.2%3 3-00.3%3-10.6%3-20.6%3-30.3%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 12.2% — — —

Draw 25.0% — — —

Away win 62.8% — — —

Over 2.5 47.4% — — —

Over 3.5 23.8% — — —

BTTS 48.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 35%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob48.1%

A 63% / xG 0.6-1.9 / O2.5 47% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 14.6%

#2 0–1 15.7%

#3 1–1 9.6%

#4 0–0 8.4%

#5 0–3 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

JEF United W0.6

Urawa RD W1.9

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.4% · O3.5 PROB 23.8%

Form & verdict PPG

JEF UNITED W · PPG 1.20

URAWA RD W · PPG 1.90

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.90) vs Home AVERAGE (1.20)

Win probability 1X2

JEF United W (H) 12.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Urawa RD W (A) 62.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

JEF United W face Urawa RD W in Japan - WE League on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives JEF United W a 12% chance, the draw 25% and Urawa RD W 63%, so Urawa RD W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for JEF United W and 1.9 for Urawa RD W (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, JEF United W are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.90 for Urawa RD W. This match finished 1-0.

JEF United W vs Urawa RD W Prediction— Japan - WE League

Match Preview & Prediction

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