Today / Japan - WE League / V. Sendai W vs Elfen Saitama W

V. Sendai W vs Elfen Saitama W Prediction— Japan - WE League

Regular Season - 22 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 04:00

V. Sendai W logo
V. Sendai W
PPG 1.40 · HOME
2 – 3
FULL TIME
Elfen Saitama W logo
Elfen Saitama W
PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.7%0-19.7%0-22.7%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.9%1-111.5%1-23.1%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-012.4%2-16.8%2-21.9%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.9%3-12.7%3-20.7%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-11.0%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 49.3%
Draw 30.0%
Away win 20.7%
Over 2.5 34.7%
Over 3.5 9.8%
BTTS 45.9%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%
O2.5 55%
BTTS 45%
Score Hit 35%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 43%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-3
xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob45.9%

H 49% / xG 1.2-0.5 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.7%
#2 1–0 20.9%
#3 1–1 11.5%
#4 2–0 12.4%
#5 0–1 9.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

V. Sendai W1.2
Elfen Saitama W0.5

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.7% · O3.5 PROB 9.8%

Form & verdict PPG

V. SENDAI W · PPG 1.40

ELFEN SAITAMA W · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.40) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

V. Sendai W (H) 49.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 30.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Elfen Saitama W (A) 20.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

V. Sendai W face Elfen Saitama W in Japan - WE League on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives V. Sendai W a 49% chance, the draw 30% and Elfen Saitama W 21%, so V. Sendai W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for V. Sendai W and 0.5 for Elfen Saitama W (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, V. Sendai W are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.00 for Elfen Saitama W. This match finished 2-3.

PredictVantage

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