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INAC Kobe L. W vs S. Hiroshima W Prediction— Japan - WE League

Regular Season - 22 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 04:00

INAC Kobe L. W

PPG 2.50 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

S. Hiroshima W

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=52.6%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.3%0-16.3%0-22.1%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-015.8%1-110.7%1-23.6%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-013.4%2-19.1%2-23.1%2-30.7%2-4+0.1%3 3-07.6%3-15.1%3-21.7%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-04.7%4+-13.2%4+-21.1%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.6% — — —

Draw 25.6% — — —

Away win 21.8% — — —

Over 2.5 47.1% — — —

Over 3.5 21.7% — — —

BTTS 48.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 35%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 31%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.1%

H 53% / xG 1.7-0.7 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 15.8%

#2 2–0 13.4%

#3 1–1 10.7%

#4 0–0 9.3%

#5 2–1 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

INAC Kobe L. W1.7

S. Hiroshima W0.7

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.1% · O3.5 PROB 21.7%

Form & verdict PPG

INAC KOBE L. W · PPG 2.50

S. HIROSHIMA W · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=52.6%

Win probability 1X2

INAC Kobe L. W (H) 52.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

S. Hiroshima W (A) 21.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

INAC Kobe L. W face S. Hiroshima W in Japan - WE League on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives INAC Kobe L. W a 53% chance, the draw 26% and S. Hiroshima W 22%, so INAC Kobe L. W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for INAC Kobe L. W and 0.7 for S. Hiroshima W (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, INAC Kobe L. W are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 1.40 for S. Hiroshima W. This match finished 0-1.

INAC Kobe L. W vs S. Hiroshima W Prediction— Japan - WE League

Match Preview & Prediction

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