Today / Eskisehirspor vs Alanya 1221

Eskisehirspor vs Alanya 1221 Prediction

Group 4 - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 13:00

Eskisehirspor logo
Eskisehirspor
PPG 2.50 · HOME
1 – 0
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME
Alanya 1221 logo
Alanya 1221
PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.50), Away AVERAGE (1.29) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.6%0-12.4%0-20.5%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-015.5%1-15.7%1-21.1%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-018.2%2-16.7%2-21.3%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-014.2%3-15.3%3-21.0%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-014.5%4+-15.4%4+-21.0%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 81.9%
Draw 13.7%
Away win 4.4%
Over 2.5 51.1%
Over 3.5 29.0%
BTTS 28.0%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 66%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-0
xG (home)2.3 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob28.0%

H 82% / xG 2.3-0.4 / O2.5 51% / NoBTTS 28%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 18.2%
#2 1–0 15.5%
#3 3–0 14.2%
#4 4–0 8.4%
#5 2–1 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eskisehirspor2.3
Alanya 12210.4

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.1% · O3.5 PROB 29.0%

Form & verdict PPG

ESKISEHIRSPOR · PPG 2.50

ALANYA 1221 · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.50), Away AVERAGE (1.29) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Eskisehirspor (H) 81.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 13.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Alanya 1221 (A) 4.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Eskisehirspor face Alanya 1221 on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eskisehirspor a 82% chance, the draw 14% and Alanya 1221 4%, so Eskisehirspor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Eskisehirspor and 0.4 for Alanya 1221 (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 28% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eskisehirspor are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 1.29 for Alanya 1221. This match finished 1-0.

PredictVantage

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