← Back to picks 
Montenegro - First League Saturday, May 16, 2026 18:00 
Sutjeska PPG 2.38 
Decic PPG 1.25
Montenegro - First League Saturday, May 16, 2026 18:00 Sutjeska PPG 2.383-0 MISS
Decic PPG 1.25Away· +18.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 47.6% Odds: 2.10 -0.0%
Over 3.5 22.2% Odds: 3.42 -14.4%
BTTS 50.4% Odds: 2.00 +0.8%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 0-0 ✘
5th 2-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Sutjeska 1.57
Decic 0.83
Model Suggestion
Home -21.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -21.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+18.5%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+18.5%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 34 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 41%
O2.5/Under 56%
BTTS/No 50%
Score Hit 47%
ROI -57.2%
Bet Hit 22% (9 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.38) vs P(Home)=52.4%