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Montenegro - First League logo Montenegro flag Montenegro - First League Regular Season - 34 Stadion Mitar Mico Golis· Petrovac Saturday, May 16, 2026 18:00
Petrovac logo Petrovac PPG 1.69
1-0 HIT MostLikelyScore
Jedinstvo logo Jedinstvo PPG 0.75
Away· +1.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.8%
Odds: 1.62 EV: -16.1%
Draw 26.6%
Odds: 3.40 EV: -5.7%
Away 21.6%
Odds: 4.75 EV: +1.6%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 2.10 -3.0%
Over 3.5 17.1% Odds: 3.68 -22.2%
BTTS 48.6% Odds: 1.99 -3.3%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-1
4th 2-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Petrovac
1.49
Jedinstvo
0.66

Model Suggestion

Home -16.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -16.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+1.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%
O2.5/Under 56%
BTTS/No 50%
Score Hit 47%
ROI -57.2%
Bet Hit 22% (9 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.69) vs P(Home)=51.8%

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