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Montenegro - First League Saturday, May 16, 2026 18:00 
Jezero PPG 1.44 
Mladost DG PPG 0.94
Montenegro - First League Saturday, May 16, 2026 18:00 Jezero PPG 1.442-2 MISS
Mladost DG PPG 0.94Over2.5· +19.0% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 47.6% Odds: 2.50 +19.0%
Over 3.5 22.1% Odds: 4.65 +1.7%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 2.05 +5.8%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 0-0 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✘
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 2-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Jezero 1.36
Mladost DG 1.03
Model Suggestion
BTTS +5.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is +5.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Over2.5 (+19.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Over2.5 (+19.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
MODERATE_HOME 75%
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.44) > Away POOR (0.94)