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Camioneros vs Brown de A. Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Regular Season - 16 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 18:00

Camioneros

PPG 1.57 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Brown de A.

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-029.5%0-111.6%0-22.3%0-30.3%0-4+0.0%1 1-024.4%1-19.6%1-21.9%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-010.1%2-14.0%2-20.8%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-02.8%3-11.1%3-20.2%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.2% 48.8% 2.05 -15.5%

Draw 38.8% 36.4% 2.75 +6.7%

Away win 20.1% 25.0% 4.00 -11.8%

Over 2.5 24.9% 29.9% 3.35 -10.0%

Over 3.5 3.6% 16.7% 6.00 -47.0%

BTTS 29.3% 38.5% 2.60 -14.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 96 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 63%

ROI 21.9%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob29.3%

H 41% / xG 0.8-0.4 / U2.5 25% / NoBTTS 29%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 29.5%

#2 1–0✓ 24.4%

#3 1–1 9.6%

#4 0–1 11.6%

#5 2–0 10.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Camioneros0.8

Brown de A.0.4

COMBINED 1.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 24.9% · O3.5 PROB 3.6%

Form & verdict PPG

CAMIONEROS · PPG 1.57

BROWN DE A. · PPG 1.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.57) > Away AVERAGE (1.13)

Win probability 1X2

Camioneros (H) 41.2%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -15.5%

Draw 38.8%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV +6.7%

Brown de A. (A) 20.1%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -11.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Camioneros face Brown de A. in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Camioneros a 41% chance, the draw 39% and Brown de A. 20%, so Camioneros are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Camioneros and 0.4 for Brown de A. (1.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 25% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 29% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Camioneros are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 1.13 for Brown de A.. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +6.7%. This match finished 1-0.

Camioneros vs Brown de A. Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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