Today / Soke 1970 vs Kutahyaspor

Soke 1970 vs Kutahyaspor Prediction

Saturday, April 18, 2026

Soke 1970
PPG 1.14 · HOME
3 – 2
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY
Kutahyaspor
PPG 2.64 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.64) vs Home AVERAGE (1.14)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.9%0-111.7%0-213.9%0-311.0%0-4+11.4%1 1-03.1%1-17.5%1-28.9%1-37.0%1-4+7.3%2 2-01.0%2-12.4%2-22.8%2-32.2%2-4+2.3%3 3-00.2%3-10.5%3-20.6%3-30.5%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 8.2%
Draw 15.8%
Away win 76.0%
Over 2.5 57.9%
Over 3.5 35.5%
BTTS 42.8%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 67%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 3-2
xG (home)0.6 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob42.8%

A 76% / xG 0.6-2.4 / O2.5 58% / NoBTTS 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 13.9%
#2 0–1 11.7%
#3 0–3 11.0%
#4 1–2 8.9%
#5 1–1 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Soke 19700.6
Kutahyaspor2.4

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.9% · O3.5 PROB 35.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SOKE 1970 · PPG 1.14

KUTAHYASPOR · PPG 2.64

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.64) vs Home AVERAGE (1.14)

Win probability 1X2

Soke 1970 (H) 8.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 15.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Kutahyaspor (A) 76.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Soke 1970 face Kutahyaspor on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Soke 1970 a 8% chance, the draw 16% and Kutahyaspor 76%, so Kutahyaspor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Soke 1970 and 2.4 for Kutahyaspor (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Soke 1970 are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 2.64 for Kutahyaspor. This match finished 3-2.

PredictVantage

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