Today / Honved W vs Budaors W

Honved W vs Budaors W Prediction

Saturday, May 16, 2026

Honved W

PPG 1.20 · HOME

2 – 5

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Budaors W

PPG 0.10 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.20), Away POOR (0.10) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-11.1%0-20.5%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-03.9%1-13.7%1-21.8%1-30.6%1-4+0.2%2 2-07.0%2-16.6%2-23.2%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.3%3-17.9%3-23.7%3-31.2%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-018.4%4+-117.4%4+-28.3%4+-32.6%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 71.0% — — —

Draw 20.4% — — —

Away win 8.6% — — —

Over 2.5 69.8% — — —

Over 3.5 65.8% — — —

BTTS 59.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 71%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-5

xG (home)3.6 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob59.7%

H 71% / xG 3.6-0.9 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 8.3%

#2 3–1 7.9%

#3 4–0 7.4%

#4 2–0 7.0%

#5 4–1 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Honved W3.6

Budaors W0.9

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.8% · O3.5 PROB 65.8%

Form & verdict PPG

HONVED W · PPG 1.20

BUDAORS W · PPG 0.10

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.20), Away POOR (0.10) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Honved W (H) 71.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Budaors W (A) 8.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Honved W face Budaors W on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Honved W a 71% chance, the draw 20% and Budaors W 9%, so Honved W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.6 for Honved W and 0.9 for Budaors W (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Honved W are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 0.10 for Budaors W. This match finished 2-5.

Honved W vs Budaors W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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