Today / Denizli IY G. vs Anadolu U.

Denizli IY G. vs Anadolu U. Prediction

Group 4 - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 13:00

Denizli IY G.

PPG 1.79 · HOME

3 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Anadolu U.

PPG 0.62 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.79) vs P(Home)=54.6%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.5%0-18.6%0-22.7%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-018.5%1-111.7%1-23.7%1-30.8%1-4+0.1%2 2-012.6%2-18.0%2-22.5%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-05.7%3-13.6%3-21.2%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-11.7%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.6% — — —

Draw 28.1% — — —

Away win 17.3% — — —

Over 2.5 32.3% — — —

Over 3.5 14.3% — — —

BTTS 34.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-3

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob34.9%

H 55% / xG 1.4-0.6 / U2.5 32% / NoBTTS 35%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 18.5%

#2 0–0 13.5%

#3 2–0 12.6%

#4 1–1 11.7%

#5 0–1 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Denizli IY G.1.4

Anadolu U.0.6

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 32.3% · O3.5 PROB 14.3%

Form & verdict PPG

DENIZLI IY G. · PPG 1.79

ANADOLU U. · PPG 0.62

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.79) vs P(Home)=54.6%

Win probability 1X2

Denizli IY G. (H) 54.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Anadolu U. (A) 17.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Denizli IY G. face Anadolu U. on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Denizli IY G. a 55% chance, the draw 28% and Anadolu U. 17%, so Denizli IY G. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Denizli IY G. and 0.6 for Anadolu U. (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 32% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 35% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Denizli IY G. are averaging 1.79 points per game versus 0.62 for Anadolu U.. This match finished 3-3.

Denizli IY G. vs Anadolu U. Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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