Today / Ayvalikgucu vs Coruhlu

Ayvalikgucu vs Coruhlu Prediction

Group 4 - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 13:00

Ayvalikgucu

PPG 2.21 · HOME

9 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Coruhlu

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.21), Away POOR (0.50) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.2%0-11.5%0-20.4%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-09.6%1-14.5%1-21.0%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-014.2%2-16.6%2-21.5%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-014.1%3-16.5%3-21.5%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-021.6%4+-110.1%4+-22.3%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 87.0% — — —

Draw 9.5% — — —

Away win 3.4% — — —

Over 2.5 66.6% — — —

Over 3.5 44.8% — — —

BTTS 35.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 79%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 9-1

xG (home)3.0 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob35.3%

H 87% / xG 3.0-0.5 / O2.5 67% / NoBTTS 35%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 14.2%

#2 3–0 14.1%

#3 4–0 10.4%

#4 1–0 9.6%

#5 2–1 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ayvalikgucu3.0

Coruhlu0.5

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.6% · O3.5 PROB 44.8%

Form & verdict PPG

AYVALIKGUCU · PPG 2.21

CORUHLU · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.21), Away POOR (0.50) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Ayvalikgucu (H) 87.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 9.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Coruhlu (A) 3.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ayvalikgucu face Coruhlu on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ayvalikgucu a 87% chance, the draw 10% and Coruhlu 3%, so Ayvalikgucu are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for Ayvalikgucu and 0.5 for Coruhlu (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 35% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ayvalikgucu are averaging 2.21 points per game versus 0.50 for Coruhlu. This match finished 9-1.

Ayvalikgucu vs Coruhlu Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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