Today / Uerdingen vs Kleve

Uerdingen vs Kleve Prediction

Saturday, May 16, 2026

Uerdingen

PPG 2.13 · HOME

UPCOMING

Kleve

PPG 0.73 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-13.7%0-21.8%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-08.9%1-18.6%1-24.1%1-31.3%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.2%2-19.8%2-24.7%2-31.5%2-4+0.4%3 3-07.7%3-17.4%3-23.6%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-07.6%4+-17.3%4+-23.5%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 58.0% — — —

Draw 21.5% — — —

Away win 20.5% — — —

Over 2.5 61.4% — — —

Over 3.5 40.8% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.6%

H 58% / xG 2.3-1.0 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.2%

#2 1–1 8.6%

#3 2–1 9.8%

#4 3–0 7.7%

#5 1–0 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Uerdingen2.3

Kleve1.0

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.4% · O3.5 PROB 40.8%

Form & verdict PPG

UERDINGEN · PPG 2.13

KLEVE · PPG 0.73

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.13) vs P(Home)=58.0%

Win probability 1X2

Uerdingen (H) 58.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kleve (A) 20.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Uerdingen face Kleve on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Uerdingen a 58% chance, the draw 22% and Kleve 21%, so Uerdingen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Uerdingen and 1.0 for Kleve (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Uerdingen are averaging 2.13 points per game versus 0.73 for Kleve.

Uerdingen vs Kleve Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

More Football Predictions