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Germany - Regionalliga - Nord logo Germany flag Germany - Regionalliga - Nord North - 34 Marschweg-Stadion· Oldenburg Saturday, May 16, 2026 16:00
Oldenburg logo Oldenburg PPG 1.88
3-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Werder Bremen B logo Werder Bremen B PPG 0.88
Over3.5· +18.7% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 61.7%
Odds: 1.30 EV: -19.8%
Draw 20.5%
Odds: 5.00 EV: +1.5%
Away 17.7%
Odds: 7.25 EV: +17.0%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 78.9% Odds: 1.25 -1.4%
Over 3.5 71.1% Odds: 1.67 +18.7%
BTTS 63.0% Odds: 1.42 -10.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 4-1
4th 3-2
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Oldenburg
3.41
Werder Bremen B
1.42

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -1.4% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-1.4%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.88) vs P(Home)=61.7%

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