Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 73.0% Odds: 1.25 -8.8%
Over 3.5 67.7% Odds: 1.65 +11.7%
BTTS 52.7% Odds: 1.80 -5.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 3-0 ✘
2nd 4-0 ✘
3rd 3-1 ✘
4th 2-0 ✘
5th 4-1 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -8.8% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-8.8%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value STRONG_HOME Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.38), Away POOR (0.75) - Strong consensus