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Germany - Regionalliga - Nord logo Germany flag Germany - Regionalliga - Nord North - 34 Hansch-Arena· Meppen Saturday, May 16, 2026 16:00
Meppen logo Meppen PPG 2.38
4-2 MISS
St. Pauli B logo St. Pauli B PPG 0.75
Draw· +22.6% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 71.4%
Odds: 1.13 EV: -19.3%
Draw 20.4%
Odds: 6.75 EV: +22.6%
Away 8.2%
Odds: 14.00 EV: +8.9%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 73.0% Odds: 1.25 -8.8%
Over 3.5 67.7% Odds: 1.65 +11.7%
BTTS 52.7% Odds: 1.80 -5.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-0
2nd 4-0
3rd 3-1
4th 2-0
5th 4-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Meppen
3.80
St. Pauli B
0.82

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -8.8% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-8.8%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
95%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.38), Away POOR (0.75) - Strong consensus

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