Hamburger SV B vs BW Lohne Prediction & Tips

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Germany - Regionalliga - Nord North - 34 Wolfgang-Meyer-Sportanlage· Hamburg Saturday, May 16, 2026 16:00

Hamburger SV B PPG 1.31

5-1 MISS

BW Lohne PPG 0.56

Away· +8.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 56.7%

Odds: 1.44 EV: -18.4%

Draw 22.1%

Odds: 4.60 EV: +1.0%

Away 21.1%

Odds: 5.40 EV: +8.4%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.36 -13.1%

Over 3.5 49.1% Odds: 1.95 -4.3%

BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.48 -11.6%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 3-1 ✘

5th 3-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Hamburger SV B

2.48

BW Lohne

1.15

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -13.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -13.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+8.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.31) > Away POOR (0.56)