Today / Nilufer B. vs Kestel Cilek

Nilufer B. vs Kestel Cilek Prediction

Group 1 - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 13:00

Nilufer B.

PPG 1.57 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

Kestel Cilek

PPG 0.93 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.6%0-110.2%0-23.8%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.0%1-112.7%1-24.8%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.5%2-17.9%2-23.0%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.4%3-13.3%3-21.2%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-11.3%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.0% — — —

Draw 29.6% — — —

Away win 22.4% — — —

Over 2.5 32.1% — — —

Over 3.5 14.2% — — —

BTTS 37.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob37.5%

H 48% / xG 1.2-0.7 / U2.5 32% / NoBTTS 38%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.0%

#2 0–0 13.6%

#3 1–1 12.7%

#4 2–0 10.5%

#5 0–1 10.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Nilufer B.1.2

Kestel Cilek0.7

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 32.1% · O3.5 PROB 14.2%

Form & verdict PPG

NILUFER B. · PPG 1.57

KESTEL CILEK · PPG 0.93

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.57) > Away POOR (0.93)

Win probability 1X2

Nilufer B. (H) 48.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kestel Cilek (A) 22.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Nilufer B. face Kestel Cilek on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nilufer B. a 48% chance, the draw 30% and Kestel Cilek 22%, so Nilufer B. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Nilufer B. and 0.7 for Kestel Cilek (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 32% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nilufer B. are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 0.93 for Kestel Cilek. This match finished 3-1.

Nilufer B. vs Kestel Cilek Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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