Today / Komarno vs Presov

Komarno vs Presov Prediction

Saturday, May 16, 2026

Komarno

PPG 0.87 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Presov

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.6%0-112.2%0-25.9%0-31.9%0-4+0.6%1 1-013.9%1-113.5%1-26.5%1-32.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-07.7%2-17.4%2-23.6%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.8%3-12.7%3-21.3%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.0%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.6% — — —

Draw 32.2% — — —

Away win 28.2% — — —

Over 2.5 46.2% — — —

Over 3.5 15.6% — — —

BTTS 48.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 24%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.9%

H 40% / xG 1.1-1.0 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%

#2 0–0 12.6%

#3 1–0✓ 13.9%

#4 0–1 12.2%

#5 2–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Komarno1.1

Presov1.0

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 15.6%

Form & verdict PPG

KOMARNO · PPG 0.87

PRESOV · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.87), Away POOR (0.80)

Win probability 1X2

Komarno (H) 39.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Presov (A) 28.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Komarno face Presov on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Komarno a 40% chance, the draw 32% and Presov 28%, so Komarno are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Komarno and 1.0 for Presov (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Komarno are averaging 0.87 points per game versus 0.80 for Presov. This match finished 1-0.

Komarno vs Presov Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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