Today / Inkilapspor vs Yalova Yesilova

Inkilapspor vs Yalova Yesilova Prediction

Group 1 - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 13:00

Inkilapspor

PPG 1.14 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Yalova Yesilova

PPG 1.36 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.0%0-114.3%0-27.9%0-32.9%0-4+1.0%1 1-012.2%1-113.4%1-27.4%1-32.7%1-4+1.0%2 2-05.7%2-16.3%2-23.5%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-01.8%3-12.0%3-21.1%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.6%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.5% — — —

Draw 30.3% — — —

Away win 39.1% — — —

Over 2.5 33.4% — — —

Over 3.5 15.0% — — —

BTTS 40.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob40.6%

D 30% / xG 0.9-1.1 / U2.5 33% / NoBTTS 41%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 14.3%

#2 1–1 13.4%

#3 0–0 13.0%

#4 1–0✓ 12.2%

#5 0–2 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Inkilapspor0.9

Yalova Yesilova1.1

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.4% · O3.5 PROB 15.0%

Form & verdict PPG

INKILAPSPOR · PPG 1.14

YALOVA YESILOVA · PPG 1.36

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.14), Away AVERAGE (1.36)

Win probability 1X2

Inkilapspor (H) 30.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Yalova Yesilova (A) 39.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Inkilapspor face Yalova Yesilova on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Inkilapspor a 31% chance, the draw 30% and Yalova Yesilova 39%, so Yalova Yesilova are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Inkilapspor and 1.1 for Yalova Yesilova (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 41% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Inkilapspor are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 1.36 for Yalova Yesilova. This match finished 1-0.

Inkilapspor vs Yalova Yesilova Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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