Today / Dinamo Tbilisi vs Iberia

Dinamo Tbilisi vs Iberia Prediction

Saturday, May 16, 2026

Dinamo Tbilisi

PPG 1.00 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

Iberia

PPG 2.14 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.7%0-116.1%0-210.2%0-34.3%0-4+1.8%1 1-010.1%1-112.8%1-28.1%1-33.4%1-4+1.4%2 2-04.0%2-15.1%2-23.2%2-31.4%2-4+0.6%3 3-01.1%3-11.3%3-20.9%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.0% — — —

Draw 30.2% — — —

Away win 43.8% — — —

Over 2.5 46.2% — — —

Over 3.5 15.4% — — —

BTTS 48.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob48.6%

A 44% / xG 0.8-1.3 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–0 12.7%

#3 0–1 16.1%

#4 0–2 10.2%

#5 1–0 10.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dinamo Tbilisi0.8

Iberia1.3

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 15.4%

Form & verdict PPG

DINAMO TBILISI · PPG 1.00

IBERIA · PPG 2.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.14) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Dinamo Tbilisi (H) 26.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Iberia (A) 43.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dinamo Tbilisi face Iberia on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dinamo Tbilisi a 26% chance, the draw 30% and Iberia 44%, so Iberia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Dinamo Tbilisi and 1.3 for Iberia (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dinamo Tbilisi are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 2.14 for Iberia. This match finished 2-0.

Dinamo Tbilisi vs Iberia Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

More Football Predictions