Today / Inegol Kafkas vs B. Yildirimspor

Inegol Kafkas vs B. Yildirimspor Prediction

Group 1 - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 13:00

Inegol Kafkas

PPG 2.00 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

B. Yildirimspor

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away GOOD (1.50)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.7%0-17.9%0-22.7%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-017.2%1-111.6%1-23.9%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.6%2-18.5%2-22.9%2-30.7%2-4+0.1%3 3-06.2%3-14.2%3-21.4%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-12.1%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.2% — — —

Draw 26.6% — — —

Away win 17.2% — — —

Over 2.5 36.2% — — —

Over 3.5 17.0% — — —

BTTS 37.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 57%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob37.9%

H 56% / xG 1.5-0.7 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 38%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.2%

#2 2–0 12.6%

#3 0–0 11.7%

#4 1–1 11.6%

#5 2–1 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Inegol Kafkas1.5

B. Yildirimspor0.7

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 36.2% · O3.5 PROB 17.0%

Form & verdict PPG

INEGOL KAFKAS · PPG 2.00

B. YILDIRIMSPOR · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Inegol Kafkas (H) 56.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

B. Yildirimspor (A) 17.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Inegol Kafkas face B. Yildirimspor on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Inegol Kafkas a 56% chance, the draw 27% and B. Yildirimspor 17%, so Inegol Kafkas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Inegol Kafkas and 0.7 for B. Yildirimspor (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Inegol Kafkas are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.50 for B. Yildirimspor. This match finished 3-1.

Inegol Kafkas vs B. Yildirimspor Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

More Football Predictions