Today / Han. Kromeriz vs Zbrojovka Brno

Han. Kromeriz vs Zbrojovka Brno Prediction

Saturday, May 16, 2026

Han. Kromeriz

PPG 1.21 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Zbrojovka Brno

PPG 2.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs Home AVERAGE (1.21)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.3%0-114.5%0-212.7%0-37.4%0-4+4.8%1 1-06.2%1-110.8%1-29.4%1-35.5%1-4+3.5%2 2-02.3%2-14.0%2-23.5%2-32.0%2-4+1.3%3 3-00.6%3-11.0%3-20.9%3-30.5%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 14.3% — — —

Draw 25.1% — — —

Away win 60.6% — — —

Over 2.5 47.6% — — —

Over 3.5 23.9% — — —

BTTS 49.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob49.2%

A 61% / xG 0.7-1.7 / O2.5 48% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 14.5%

#2 0–2 12.7%

#3 1–1✓ 10.8%

#4 0–0 8.3%

#5 1–2 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Han. Kromeriz0.7

Zbrojovka Brno1.7

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.6% · O3.5 PROB 23.9%

Form & verdict PPG

HAN. KROMERIZ · PPG 1.21

ZBROJOVKA BRNO · PPG 2.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs Home AVERAGE (1.21)

Win probability 1X2

Han. Kromeriz (H) 14.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Zbrojovka Brno (A) 60.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Han. Kromeriz face Zbrojovka Brno on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Han. Kromeriz a 14% chance, the draw 25% and Zbrojovka Brno 61%, so Zbrojovka Brno are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Han. Kromeriz and 1.7 for Zbrojovka Brno (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Han. Kromeriz are averaging 1.21 points per game versus 2.50 for Zbrojovka Brno. This match finished 1-1.

Han. Kromeriz vs Zbrojovka Brno Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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