Today / Galata vs Cankaya FK

Galata vs Cankaya FK Prediction

Group 1 - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 13:00

Galata

PPG 1.43 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Cankaya FK

PPG 1.07 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.43) > Away AVERAGE (1.07)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.2%0-18.9%0-23.6%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-015.6%1-112.4%1-24.9%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.9%2-18.6%2-23.4%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-05.0%3-14.0%3-21.6%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-11.9%4+-20.8%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.0% — — —

Draw 27.6% — — —

Away win 21.4% — — —

Over 2.5 37.3% — — —

Over 3.5 17.8% — — —

BTTS 41.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob41.2%

H 51% / xG 1.4-0.8 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 41%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 15.6%

#2 1–1 12.4%

#3 0–0 11.2%

#4 2–0 10.9%

#5 0–1 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Galata1.4

Cankaya FK0.8

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.3% · O3.5 PROB 17.8%

Form & verdict PPG

GALATA · PPG 1.43

CANKAYA FK · PPG 1.07

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.43) > Away AVERAGE (1.07)

Win probability 1X2

Galata (H) 51.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Cankaya FK (A) 21.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Galata face Cankaya FK on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Galata a 51% chance, the draw 28% and Cankaya FK 21%, so Galata are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Galata and 0.8 for Cankaya FK (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 41% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Galata are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 1.07 for Cankaya FK. This match finished 1-3.

Galata vs Cankaya FK Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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