Today / B. Gracanica vs B. Banovici

B. Gracanica vs B. Banovici Prediction

Saturday, May 16, 2026

B. Gracanica

PPG 1.36 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

B. Banovici

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.9%0-113.8%0-26.9%0-32.3%0-4+0.7%1 1-013.6%1-113.5%1-26.7%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-06.7%2-16.6%2-23.3%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.2%3-12.2%3-21.1%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.7%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.5% — — —

Draw 32.5% — — —

Away win 33.0% — — —

Over 2.5 36.1% — — —

Over 3.5 13.8% — — —

BTTS 48.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.6%

D 32% / xG 1.0-1.0 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 13.9%

#2 1–1 13.5%

#3 0–1 13.8%

#4 1–0 13.6%

#5 0–2 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

B. Gracanica1.0

B. Banovici1.0

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 36.1% · O3.5 PROB 13.8%

Form & verdict PPG

B. GRACANICA · PPG 1.36

B. BANOVICI · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.36), Away AVERAGE (1.20)

Win probability 1X2

B. Gracanica (H) 34.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

B. Banovici (A) 33.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

B. Gracanica face B. Banovici on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives B. Gracanica a 35% chance, the draw 33% and B. Banovici 33%, so B. Gracanica are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for B. Gracanica and 1.0 for B. Banovici (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, B. Gracanica are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.20 for B. Banovici. This match finished 2-0.

B. Gracanica vs B. Banovici Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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