Today / Wiener Viktoria vs Marchfeld

Wiener Viktoria vs Marchfeld Prediction

Saturday, May 16, 2026

Wiener Viktoria
PPG 1.57 · HOME
0 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS
Marchfeld
PPG 1.07 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.57) > Away AVERAGE (1.07)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.2%0-17.9%0-26.0%0-33.1%0-4+1.6%1 1-07.4%1-111.3%1-28.7%1-34.4%1-4+2.4%2 2-05.3%2-18.1%2-26.2%2-33.2%2-4+1.7%3 3-02.5%3-13.9%3-23.0%3-31.5%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.9%4+-21.5%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.4%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 36.4%
Draw 26.2%
Away win 37.4%
Over 2.5 59.1%
Over 3.5 34.5%
BTTS 59.7%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 43%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-0
xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob59.7%

A 37% / xG 1.4-1.5 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%
#2 1–2 8.7%
#3 2–1 8.1%
#4 0–0 5.2%
#5 2–2 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wiener Viktoria1.4
Marchfeld1.5

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.1% · O3.5 PROB 34.5%

Form & verdict PPG

WIENER VIKTORIA · PPG 1.57

MARCHFELD · PPG 1.07

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.57) > Away AVERAGE (1.07)

Win probability 1X2

Wiener Viktoria (H) 36.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 26.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Marchfeld (A) 37.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Wiener Viktoria face Marchfeld on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wiener Viktoria a 36% chance, the draw 26% and Marchfeld 37%, so Marchfeld are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Wiener Viktoria and 1.5 for Marchfeld (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wiener Viktoria are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 1.07 for Marchfeld. This match finished 0-0.

PredictVantage

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