Today / Austria - Regionalliga - West / Hohenems vs Wals-Grunau

Hohenems vs Wals-Grunau Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 29 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 15:00

Hohenems

PPG 1.64 · HOME

3 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Wals-Grunau

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 62.7% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-14.7%0-23.3%0-31.5%0-4+0.7%1 1-06.8%1-19.4%1-26.5%1-33.0%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.8%2-19.4%2-26.5%2-33.0%2-4+1.4%3 3-04.5%3-16.2%3-24.3%3-32.0%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-03.6%4+-14.9%4+-23.4%4+-31.6%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.6% 55.6% 1.80 -7.1%

Draw 24.0% 25.0% 4.00 -2.4%

Away win 24.4% 30.8% 3.25 -12.4%

Over 2.5 62.7% 66.7% 1.50 -5.9%

Over 3.5 43.6% 45.7% 2.19 -4.5%

BTTS 59.7% 69.4% 1.44 -14.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -6.3%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-3

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob59.7%

H 52% / xG 2.0-1.4 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.4%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 2–0 6.8%

#4 1–2 6.5%

#5 2–2 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hohenems2.0

Wals-Grunau1.4

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.7% · O3.5 PROB 43.6%

Form & verdict PPG

HOHENEMS · PPG 1.64

WALS-GRUNAU · PPG 1.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.64), Away AVERAGE (1.38)

Win probability 1X2

Hohenems (H) 51.6%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -7.1%

Draw 24.0%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -2.4%

Wals-Grunau (A) 24.4%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -12.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hohenems face Wals-Grunau in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hohenems a 52% chance, the draw 24% and Wals-Grunau 24%, so Hohenems are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Hohenems and 1.4 for Wals-Grunau (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hohenems are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 1.38 for Wals-Grunau. This match finished 3-3.

Hohenems vs Wals-Grunau Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

More Austria - Regionalliga - West Predictions