Today / Etimesgut vs K. Bulvarspor

Etimesgut vs K. Bulvarspor Prediction

Group 1 - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 13:00

Etimesgut

PPG 1.64 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

K. Bulvarspor

PPG 1.07 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.64) > Away AVERAGE (1.07)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.1%0-14.9%0-21.5%0-30.3%0-4+0.0%1 1-015.5%1-19.3%1-22.8%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.8%2-18.9%2-22.7%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-09.5%3-15.7%3-21.7%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-07.0%4+-14.2%4+-21.3%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 68.8% — — —

Draw 20.4% — — —

Away win 10.8% — — —

Over 2.5 45.9% — — —

Over 3.5 24.5% — — —

BTTS 38.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 49%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob38.4%

H 69% / xG 1.9-0.6 / O2.5 46% / NoBTTS 38%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0✓ 15.5%

#2 2–0 14.8%

#3 3–0 9.5%

#4 1–1 9.3%

#5 2–1 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Etimesgut1.9

K. Bulvarspor0.6

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.9% · O3.5 PROB 24.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ETIMESGUT · PPG 1.64

K. BULVARSPOR · PPG 1.07

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.64) > Away AVERAGE (1.07)

Win probability 1X2

Etimesgut (H) 68.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

K. Bulvarspor (A) 10.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Etimesgut face K. Bulvarspor on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Etimesgut a 69% chance, the draw 20% and K. Bulvarspor 11%, so Etimesgut are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Etimesgut and 0.6 for K. Bulvarspor (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Etimesgut are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 1.07 for K. Bulvarspor. This match finished 1-0.

Etimesgut vs K. Bulvarspor Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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