Today / Corluspor vs Kucukcekmece

Corluspor vs Kucukcekmece Prediction

Group 1 - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 13:00

Corluspor

PPG 1.86 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Kucukcekmece

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.86), Away GOOD (1.57)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.7%0-15.9%0-22.6%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-012.2%1-110.8%1-24.7%1-31.4%1-4+0.4%2 2-011.1%2-19.8%2-24.3%2-31.3%2-4+0.3%3 3-06.7%3-16.0%3-22.6%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-04.6%4+-14.1%4+-21.8%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 59.6% — — —

Draw 22.6% — — —

Away win 17.8% — — —

Over 2.5 50.8% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 49.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.2%

H 60% / xG 1.8-0.9 / O2.5 51% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0✓ 12.2%

#2 2–0 11.1%

#3 1–1 10.8%

#4 2–1 9.8%

#5 3–0 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Corluspor1.8

Kucukcekmece0.9

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.8% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

CORLUSPOR · PPG 1.86

KUCUKCEKMECE · PPG 1.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.86), Away GOOD (1.57)

Win probability 1X2

Corluspor (H) 59.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kucukcekmece (A) 17.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Corluspor face Kucukcekmece on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Corluspor a 60% chance, the draw 23% and Kucukcekmece 18%, so Corluspor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Corluspor and 0.9 for Kucukcekmece (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Corluspor are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 1.57 for Kucukcekmece. This match finished 1-0.

Corluspor vs Kucukcekmece Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

More Football Predictions