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Taby vs Sunnersta Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Norra Svealand - 8 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 14:00

Taby

PPG 1.75 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Sunnersta

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 61.4% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-17.5%0-26.8%0-34.1%0-4+2.8%1 1-05.7%1-110.3%1-29.3%1-35.6%1-4+3.8%2 2-03.9%2-17.1%2-26.4%2-33.8%2-4+2.6%3 3-01.8%3-13.2%3-22.9%3-31.8%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.5%4+-21.4%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.5% 50.0% 2.00 -35.0%

Draw 24.7% 26.7% 3.75 -4.4%

Away win 42.9% 33.9% 2.95 +26.6%

Over 2.5 61.4% 69.0% 1.45 -11.0%

Over 3.5 39.2% 47.6% 2.10 -17.7%

BTTS 59.7% 71.4% 1.40 -16.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -22.7%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob59.7%

A 43% / xG 1.4-1.8 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.3%

#2 1–2 9.3%

#3 2–1 7.1%

#4 0–2 6.8%

#5 2–2 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Taby1.4

Sunnersta1.8

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.4% · O3.5 PROB 39.2%

Form & verdict PPG

TABY · PPG 1.75

SUNNERSTA · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.75), Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

Taby (H) 32.5%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -35.0%

Draw 24.7%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -4.4%

Sunnersta (A) 42.9%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV +26.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Taby face Sunnersta in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Taby a 33% chance, the draw 25% and Sunnersta 43%, so Sunnersta are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Taby and 1.8 for Sunnersta (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Taby are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 2.00 for Sunnersta. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +26.6%. This match finished 0-0.

Taby vs Sunnersta Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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