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SJK vs Inter Turku Prediction— Finland - Veikkausliiga

Regular Season - 7 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 14:00

SJK

PPG 1.67 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

Inter Turku

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-020.5%0-117.9%0-27.8%0-32.3%0-4+0.6%1 1-014.6%1-112.7%1-25.6%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-05.2%2-14.5%2-22.0%2-30.6%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.2%3-11.1%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.7% 29.0% 3.45 -2.7%

Draw 35.3% 31.7% 3.15 +11.2%

Away win 37.0% 48.1% 2.08 -23.0%

Over 2.5 35.0% 50.0% 2.00 -30.0%

Over 3.5 7.7% 29.4% 3.40 -44.3%

BTTS 46.2% 57.8% 1.73 -20.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 42%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 42%

ROI -4.8%

Bet Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob46.2%

D 35% / xG 0.7-0.9 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 20.5%

#2 0–1 17.9%

#3 1–1 12.7%

#4 1–0 14.6%

#5 0–2 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SJK0.7

Inter Turku0.9

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 7.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SJK · PPG 1.67

INTER TURKU · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.67), Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

SJK (H) 27.7%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -2.7%

Draw 35.3%

ODDS 3.15 · IMPLIED 31.7% EV +11.2%

Inter Turku (A) 37.0%

ODDS 2.08 · IMPLIED 48.1% EV -23.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

SJK face Inter Turku in Finland - Veikkausliiga on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SJK a 28% chance, the draw 35% and Inter Turku 37%, so Inter Turku are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for SJK and 0.9 for Inter Turku (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SJK are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.50 for Inter Turku. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +11.2%. This match finished 1-3.

SJK vs Inter Turku Prediction— Finland - Veikkausliiga

Match Preview & Prediction

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