Today / HHC Hardenberg vs Kozakken Boys

HHC Hardenberg vs Kozakken Boys Prediction

Saturday, May 16, 2026

HHC Hardenberg

PPG 1.88 · HOME

3 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Kozakken Boys

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.5%0-16.2%0-23.5%0-31.3%0-4+0.5%1 1-09.7%1-111.0%1-26.3%1-32.4%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.5%2-19.7%2-25.5%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-05.0%3-15.7%3-23.3%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-03.3%4+-13.8%4+-22.2%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.1% — — —

Draw 24.8% — — —

Away win 24.1% — — —

Over 2.5 59.1% — — —

Over 3.5 33.2% — — —

BTTS 54.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-3

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob54.9%

H 51% / xG 1.8-1.1 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 2–0 8.5%

#4 1–0 9.7%

#5 0–0 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

HHC Hardenberg1.8

Kozakken Boys1.1

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.1% · O3.5 PROB 33.2%

Form & verdict PPG

HHC HARDENBERG · PPG 1.88

KOZAKKEN BOYS · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.88), Away GOOD (1.75)

Win probability 1X2

HHC Hardenberg (H) 51.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kozakken Boys (A) 24.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

HHC Hardenberg face Kozakken Boys on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives HHC Hardenberg a 51% chance, the draw 25% and Kozakken Boys 24%, so HHC Hardenberg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for HHC Hardenberg and 1.1 for Kozakken Boys (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, HHC Hardenberg are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 1.75 for Kozakken Boys. This match finished 3-3.

HHC Hardenberg vs Kozakken Boys Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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