Today / GVVV vs AFC

GVVV vs AFC Prediction

Saturday, May 16, 2026

GVVV

PPG 1.44 · HOME

UPCOMING

AFC

PPG 1.19 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-16.4%0-24.9%0-32.5%0-4+1.3%1 1-06.9%1-110.5%1-28.0%1-34.1%1-4+2.2%2 2-05.7%2-18.7%2-26.6%2-33.4%2-4+1.8%3 3-03.1%3-14.8%3-23.6%3-31.8%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-12.8%4+-22.2%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.9% — — —

Draw 24.1% — — —

Away win 35.1% — — —

Over 2.5 61.4% — — —

Over 3.5 39.2% — — —

BTTS 59.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 37%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob59.7%

H 41% / xG 1.6-1.5 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%

#2 2–1 8.7%

#3 1–2 8.0%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 0–0 4.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

GVVV1.6

AFC1.5

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.4% · O3.5 PROB 39.2%

Form & verdict PPG

GVVV · PPG 1.44

AFC · PPG 1.19

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.44), Away AVERAGE (1.19)

Win probability 1X2

GVVV (H) 40.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

AFC (A) 35.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

GVVV face AFC on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives GVVV a 41% chance, the draw 24% and AFC 35%, so GVVV are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for GVVV and 1.5 for AFC (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, GVVV are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 1.19 for AFC.

GVVV vs AFC Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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