Today / Lazio U20 vs Cesena U20

Lazio U20 vs Cesena U20 Prediction

Saturday, May 16, 2026

Lazio U20

PPG 1.39 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Cesena U20

PPG 1.28 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.39), Away AVERAGE (1.28)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.2%0-18.1%0-26.4%0-33.4%0-4+1.9%1 1-07.2%1-111.3%1-28.9%1-34.7%1-4+2.6%2 2-05.0%2-17.8%2-26.2%2-33.2%2-4+1.8%3 3-02.3%3-13.6%3-22.9%3-31.5%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.7%4+-21.3%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.8% — — —

Draw 25.7% — — —

Away win 38.5% — — —

Over 2.5 59.1% — — —

Over 3.5 34.4% — — —

BTTS 59.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob59.7%

A 38% / xG 1.4-1.6 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 1–2 8.9%

#3 2–1✓ 7.8%

#4 0–0 5.2%

#5 0–1 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lazio U201.4

Cesena U201.6

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.1% · O3.5 PROB 34.4%

Form & verdict PPG

LAZIO U20 · PPG 1.39

CESENA U20 · PPG 1.28

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.39), Away AVERAGE (1.28)

Win probability 1X2

Lazio U20 (H) 35.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Cesena U20 (A) 38.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Lazio U20 face Cesena U20 on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lazio U20 a 36% chance, the draw 26% and Cesena U20 39%, so Cesena U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Lazio U20 and 1.6 for Cesena U20 (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lazio U20 are averaging 1.39 points per game versus 1.28 for Cesena U20. This match finished 2-1.

Lazio U20 vs Cesena U20 Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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