Today / Juventus U20 vs Atalanta U20

Juventus U20 vs Atalanta U20 Prediction

Saturday, May 16, 2026

Juventus U20
PPG 1.72 · HOME
2 – 3
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
Atalanta U20
PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.72) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.1%0-19.8%0-26.0%0-32.4%0-4+1.0%1 1-010.5%1-112.8%1-27.8%1-33.1%1-4+1.2%2 2-06.8%2-18.3%2-25.0%2-32.0%2-4+0.8%3 3-03.0%3-13.6%3-22.2%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.5%4+-20.9%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 37.2%
Draw 27.9%
Away win 34.8%
Over 2.5 47.6%
Over 3.5 24.5%
BTTS 52.6%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 19%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-3
xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob52.6%

H 37% / xG 1.3-1.2 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%
#2 0–0 8.1%
#3 1–0 10.5%
#4 2–1 8.3%
#5 0–1 9.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Juventus U201.3
Atalanta U201.2

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.6% · O3.5 PROB 24.5%

Form & verdict PPG

JUVENTUS U20 · PPG 1.72

ATALANTA U20 · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.72) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Juventus U20 (H) 37.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 27.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Atalanta U20 (A) 34.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Juventus U20 face Atalanta U20 on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Juventus U20 a 37% chance, the draw 28% and Atalanta U20 35%, so Juventus U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Juventus U20 and 1.2 for Atalanta U20 (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Juventus U20 are averaging 1.72 points per game versus 1.33 for Atalanta U20. This match finished 2-3.

PredictVantage

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