Today / Genoa U20 vs Inter Milan U20

Genoa U20 vs Inter Milan U20 Prediction

Saturday, May 16, 2026

Genoa U20

PPG 1.44 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Inter Milan U20

PPG 0.94 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.44) > Away POOR (0.94)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-16.9%0-25.0%0-32.5%0-4+1.2%1 1-07.5%1-111.0%1-28.0%1-33.9%1-4+2.0%2 2-06.0%2-18.7%2-26.4%2-33.1%2-4+1.6%3 3-03.2%3-14.6%3-23.4%3-31.6%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-12.6%4+-21.9%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.8% — — —

Draw 24.8% — — —

Away win 34.4% — — —

Over 2.5 59.1% — — —

Over 3.5 36.4% — — —

BTTS 59.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob59.7%

H 41% / xG 1.6-1.5 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 11.0%

#2 2–1 8.7%

#3 1–2 8.0%

#4 2–2 6.4%

#5 0–0 4.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Genoa U201.6

Inter Milan U201.5

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.1% · O3.5 PROB 36.4%

Form & verdict PPG

GENOA U20 · PPG 1.44

INTER MILAN U20 · PPG 0.94

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.44) > Away POOR (0.94)

Win probability 1X2

Genoa U20 (H) 40.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Inter Milan U20 (A) 34.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Genoa U20 face Inter Milan U20 on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Genoa U20 a 41% chance, the draw 25% and Inter Milan U20 34%, so Genoa U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Genoa U20 and 1.5 for Inter Milan U20 (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Genoa U20 are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 0.94 for Inter Milan U20. This match finished 1-1.

Genoa U20 vs Inter Milan U20 Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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