Today / Cremonese U20 vs Bologna U20

Cremonese U20 vs Bologna U20 Prediction

Saturday, May 16, 2026

Cremonese U20

PPG 0.67 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Bologna U20

PPG 1.78 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.78) vs Home POOR (0.67)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.4%0-115.8%0-211.9%0-36.0%0-4+3.2%1 1-07.8%1-111.8%1-28.9%1-34.5%1-4+2.4%2 2-02.9%2-14.4%2-23.3%2-31.7%2-4+0.9%3 3-00.7%3-11.1%3-20.8%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 19.4% — — —

Draw 27.2% — — —

Away win 53.5% — — —

Over 2.5 46.2% — — —

Over 3.5 19.4% — — —

BTTS 48.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 33%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob48.6%

A 54% / xG 0.7-1.5 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 15.8%

#2 1–1 11.8%

#3 0–0 10.4%

#4 0–2 11.9%

#5 1–2 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cremonese U200.7

Bologna U201.5

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 19.4%

Form & verdict PPG

CREMONESE U20 · PPG 0.67

BOLOGNA U20 · PPG 1.78

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.78) vs Home POOR (0.67)

Win probability 1X2

Cremonese U20 (H) 19.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bologna U20 (A) 53.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Cremonese U20 face Bologna U20 on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cremonese U20 a 19% chance, the draw 27% and Bologna U20 54%, so Bologna U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Cremonese U20 and 1.5 for Bologna U20 (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cremonese U20 are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 1.78 for Bologna U20. This match finished 1-3.

Cremonese U20 vs Bologna U20 Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

More Football Predictions