Today / Cagliari U20 vs Napoli U20
Cagliari U20 vs Napoli U20 Prediction
Saturday, May 16, 2026
// Model verdict
BTTS
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.39) > Away POOR (0.83)
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 48% / xG 1.5-1.1 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 52%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.6% · O3.5 PROB 24.7%
Form & verdict
CAGLIARI U20 · PPG 1.39
NAPOLI U20 · PPG 0.83
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.39) > Away POOR (0.83)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Cagliari U20 face Napoli U20 on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cagliari U20 a 48% chance, the draw 27% and Napoli U20 25%, so Cagliari U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Cagliari U20 and 1.1 for Napoli U20 (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cagliari U20 are averaging 1.39 points per game versus 0.83 for Napoli U20. This match finished 1-0.