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Poland - Ekstraklasa logo Poland flag Poland - Ekstraklasa Regular Season - 33 Motor Lublin Arena· Lublin Saturday, May 16, 2026 12:45
Motor Lublin logo Motor Lublin PPG 1.44
3-3 MISS
Cracovia Krakow logo Cracovia Krakow PPG 1.06
Home· +22.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.2%
Odds: 2.70 EV: +22.0%
Draw 28.4%
Odds: 3.45 EV: -1.2%
Away 26.3%
Odds: 2.44 EV: -21.5%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 1.70 -21.5%
Over 3.5 19.5% Odds: 2.80 -27.2%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.57 -19.0%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Motor Lublin
1.26
Cracovia Krakow
1.01

Model Suggestion

BTTS -19.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -19.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+22.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.44) > Away AVERAGE (1.06)

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