Today / KSV Baunatal vs Waldgirmes

KSV Baunatal vs Waldgirmes Prediction

Saturday, May 16, 2026

KSV Baunatal

PPG 1.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Waldgirmes

PPG 0.87 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-13.3%0-22.0%0-30.8%0-4+0.3%1 1-06.5%1-17.9%1-24.8%1-31.9%1-4+0.8%2 2-07.8%2-19.4%2-25.7%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-06.2%3-17.5%3-24.6%3-31.9%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-06.5%4+-17.9%4+-24.8%4+-32.0%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.0% — — —

Draw 23.6% — — —

Away win 22.4% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 48.7% — — —

BTTS 59.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 57%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob59.7%

H 54% / xG 2.4-1.2 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.4%

#2 1–1 7.9%

#3 2–0 7.8%

#4 3–1 7.5%

#5 3–0 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

KSV Baunatal2.4

Waldgirmes1.2

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 48.7%

Form & verdict PPG

KSV BAUNATAL · PPG 1.67

WALDGIRMES · PPG 0.87

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away POOR (0.87)

Win probability 1X2

KSV Baunatal (H) 54.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Waldgirmes (A) 22.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

KSV Baunatal face Waldgirmes on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives KSV Baunatal a 54% chance, the draw 24% and Waldgirmes 22%, so KSV Baunatal are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for KSV Baunatal and 1.2 for Waldgirmes (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, KSV Baunatal are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 0.87 for Waldgirmes.

KSV Baunatal vs Waldgirmes Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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