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Dalstorps vs Astorps FF Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Västra Götaland - 8 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 12:00

Dalstorps

PPG 2.50 · HOME

2 – 4

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Astorps FF

PPG 0.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=58.5%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.0%0-14.9%0-21.7%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-013.7%1-19.6%1-23.4%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-013.4%2-19.4%2-23.3%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-08.8%3-16.1%3-22.2%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-06.7%4+-14.7%4+-21.7%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 58.5% — — —

Draw 23.5% — — —

Away win 18.0% — — —

Over 2.5 52.6% — — —

Over 3.5 27.7% — — —

BTTS 49.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 0.3%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-4

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob49.2%

H 58% / xG 2.0-0.7 / O2.5 53% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 13.4%

#2 1–0 13.7%

#3 1–1 9.6%

#4 2–1 9.4%

#5 3–0 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dalstorps2.0

Astorps FF0.7

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 27.7%

Form & verdict PPG

DALSTORPS · PPG 2.50

ASTORPS FF · PPG 0.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=58.5%

Win probability 1X2

Dalstorps (H) 58.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Astorps FF (A) 18.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dalstorps face Astorps FF in Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dalstorps a 59% chance, the draw 24% and Astorps FF 18%, so Dalstorps are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Dalstorps and 0.7 for Astorps FF (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dalstorps are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 0.33 for Astorps FF. This match finished 2-4.

Dalstorps vs Astorps FF Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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