Today / Ujpest W vs Szekszardi W

Ujpest W vs Szekszardi W Prediction

Saturday, May 16, 2026

Ujpest W

PPG 1.20 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Szekszardi W

PPG 0.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-11.2%0-20.6%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-03.7%1-14.0%1-22.2%1-30.8%1-4+0.3%2 2-06.4%2-16.9%2-23.7%2-31.4%2-4+0.5%3 3-07.3%3-18.0%3-24.3%3-31.6%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-015.4%4+-116.7%4+-29.0%4+-33.3%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 68.1% — — —

Draw 21.8% — — —

Away win 10.2% — — —

Over 2.5 70.3% — — —

Over 3.5 66.5% — — —

BTTS 59.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 70%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)3.5 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob59.7%

H 68% / xG 3.5-1.1 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 8.0%

#2 3–0 7.3%

#3 2–1 6.9%

#4 4–1 6.9%

#5 2–0 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ujpest W3.5

Szekszardi W1.1

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 70.3% · O3.5 PROB 66.5%

Form & verdict PPG

UJPEST W · PPG 1.20

SZEKSZARDI W · PPG 0.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.20), Away POOR (0.20) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Ujpest W (H) 68.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Szekszardi W (A) 10.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ujpest W face Szekszardi W on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ujpest W a 68% chance, the draw 22% and Szekszardi W 10%, so Ujpest W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.5 for Ujpest W and 1.1 for Szekszardi W (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ujpest W are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 0.20 for Szekszardi W. This match finished 0-2.

Ujpest W vs Szekszardi W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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