Today / San Giovanni vs Domagnano

San Giovanni vs Domagnano Prediction

Regular Season - 29 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 13:00

San Giovanni

PPG 1.43 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Domagnano

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.43), Away GOOD (1.57)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.6%0-115.8%0-212.9%0-37.0%0-4+4.2%1 1-06.8%1-111.1%1-29.1%1-35.0%1-4+2.9%2 2-02.4%2-13.9%2-23.2%2-31.7%2-4+1.0%3 3-00.6%3-10.9%3-20.7%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 15.8% — — —

Draw 24.3% — — —

Away win 59.9% — — —

Over 2.5 41.5% — — —

Over 3.5 20.9% — — —

BTTS 40.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 50%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob40.7%

A 60% / xG 0.7-1.6 / U2.5 42% / NoBTTS 41%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 15.8%

#2 0–2✓ 12.9%

#3 1–1 11.1%

#4 0–0 9.6%

#5 1–2 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

San Giovanni0.7

Domagnano1.6

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.5% · O3.5 PROB 20.9%

Form & verdict PPG

SAN GIOVANNI · PPG 1.43

DOMAGNANO · PPG 1.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.43), Away GOOD (1.57)

Win probability 1X2

San Giovanni (H) 15.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Domagnano (A) 59.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

San Giovanni face Domagnano on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives San Giovanni a 16% chance, the draw 24% and Domagnano 60%, so Domagnano are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for San Giovanni and 1.6 for Domagnano (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 41% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, San Giovanni are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 1.57 for Domagnano. This match finished 0-2.

San Giovanni vs Domagnano Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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