Today / Diosgyori VTK W vs Viktoria FC W

Diosgyori VTK W vs Viktoria FC W Prediction

Saturday, May 16, 2026

Diosgyori VTK W
PPG 1.20 · HOME
0 – 2
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
Viktoria FC W
PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-13.4%0-22.9%0-31.6%0-4+1.0%1 1-04.6%1-17.6%1-26.4%1-33.5%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.0%2-18.4%2-27.0%2-33.9%2-4+2.4%3 3-03.7%3-16.2%3-25.2%3-32.9%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-03.4%4+-15.8%4+-24.8%4+-32.7%4+-4+1.6%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 51.2%
Draw 23.3%
Away win 25.5%
Over 2.5 63.9%
Over 3.5 54.3%
BTTS 63.0%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 63%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-2
xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob63.0%

H 51% / xG 2.2-1.7 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.6%
#2 2–1 8.4%
#3 2–2 7.0%
#4 1–2 6.4%
#5 3–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Diosgyori VTK W2.2
Viktoria FC W1.7

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 54.3%

Form & verdict PPG

DIOSGYORI VTK W · PPG 1.20

VIKTORIA FC W · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.20) > Away POOR (0.50)

Win probability 1X2

Diosgyori VTK W (H) 51.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 23.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Viktoria FC W (A) 25.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Diosgyori VTK W face Viktoria FC W on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Diosgyori VTK W a 51% chance, the draw 23% and Viktoria FC W 26%, so Diosgyori VTK W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Diosgyori VTK W and 1.7 for Viktoria FC W (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Diosgyori VTK W are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 0.50 for Viktoria FC W. This match finished 0-2.

PredictVantage

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