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Wurzburger FV vs J. Regensburg B Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord

Bayern Nord - 34 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 12:00

Wurzburger FV

PPG 1.33 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

J. Regensburg B

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-14.7%0-24.3%0-32.6%0-4+1.8%1 1-04.6%1-18.5%1-27.9%1-34.8%1-4+3.4%2 2-04.3%2-17.8%2-27.2%2-34.4%2-4+3.1%3 3-02.6%3-14.8%3-24.4%3-32.7%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-13.3%4+-23.1%4+-31.9%4+-4+1.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.6% — — —

Draw 24.4% — — —

Away win 37.0% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 50.2% — — —

BTTS 63.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 26%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 51%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob63.0%

A 37% / xG 1.8-1.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.5%

#2 1–2 7.9%

#3 2–1 7.8%

#4 2–2 7.2%

#5 1–3✓ 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wurzburger FV1.8

J. Regensburg B1.8

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 50.2%

Form & verdict PPG

WURZBURGER FV · PPG 1.33

J. REGENSBURG B · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.33) > Away POOR (0.80)

Win probability 1X2

Wurzburger FV (H) 38.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

J. Regensburg B (A) 37.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Wurzburger FV face J. Regensburg B in Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wurzburger FV a 39% chance, the draw 24% and J. Regensburg B 37%, so Wurzburger FV are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Wurzburger FV and 1.8 for J. Regensburg B (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wurzburger FV are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.80 for J. Regensburg B. This match finished 1-3.

Wurzburger FV vs J. Regensburg B Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord

Match Preview & Prediction

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